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Kick-off · Matchday 14

Elche vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

Elche
46%Away win
Atlético Madrid

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.13 – 1.50
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1517

Recent form

ElcheLWDDW
Atlético MadridWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid10+1225
2Elche9-39

Head to head

  • Elche 3–2 Atlético Madrid2026-04-22

Match preview

Elche host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 29 November 2026. Elche sit 14th on 9 points and Atlético Madrid are 2nd on 25. Elche have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDDW), while Atlético Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Elche won 1, Atlético Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Elche 28%, the draw 26% and Atlético Madrid 46%, so Atlético Madrid are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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