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FTMatchday 33

Elche vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
ElcheAtlético Madrid
  1. 10'Nicolás Gonzálezassist Rodrigo Mendoza
  2. David Affengruberassist Tete Morente18'
  3. 30'Thiago Almadared card
  4. André Silvapenalty33'
  5. 34'Nicolás Gonzálezassist Robin Le Normand
  6. 36'Clément Lengletyellow card
  7. 38'Julio Díazyellow card
  8. Buba Sangaréyellow card45'
  9. Aleix Febasyellow card45'
  10. 46'Robin Le Normandon
  11. 46'Julio Díazon
  12. Buba Sangaréon60'
  13. 62'Álex Baenaon
  14. 62'Rodrigo Mendozaon
  15. 62'Obed Vargason
  16. Tete Morenteon67'
  17. Rafa Miron67'
  18. Martim Carvalho Netoon67'
  19. André Silvaassist David Affengruber75'
  20. Léo Pétroton82'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheAtlético Madrid
  • 72%Possession28%
  • 2.67Expected goals (xG)1.01
  • 14Shots6
  • 6Shots on target3
  • 13Corners3
  • 11Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides2
  • 1Saves4
  • 649Passes259

Line-ups

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 9André Silva
  • 12Gonzalo Villar
  • 15Tete Morente
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 1Matías Dituro
  • 21Léo Pétrot
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 16Martim Carvalho Neto
  • 42Buba Sangaré

Atlético Madrid

  • 13Jan Oblak
  • 15Clément Lenglet
  • 24Robin Le Normand
  • 23Nicolás González
  • 10Álex Baena
  • 5Johnny Cardoso
  • 21Obed Vargas
  • 11Thiago Almada
  • 4Rodrigo Mendoza
  • 34Julio Díaz

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1501

Recent form

ElcheLLWLW
Atlético MadridWWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid35+1662
2Elche35-840

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Elche host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 22 April 2026. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Elche have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWLW), while Atlético Madrid have won 2 of 5 (WWLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming