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FTMatchday 9

Elche vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio Martínez Valero

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
ElcheAthletic Bilbao
  1. Víctor Chustyellow card29'
  2. Germán Valerayellow card44'
  3. 46'Gorka Guruzetaon
  4. 46'Robert Navarroon
  5. 58'Oihan Sanceton
  6. 61'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretayellow card
  7. Léo Pétroton62'
  8. 68'Iñigo Ruiz de Galarretaon
  9. Marc Aguadoon75'
  10. 81'Aymeric Laporteon
  11. 83'Mikel Jauregizaryellow card
  12. Germán Valeraon89'
  13. Álvaro Núñezon89'
  14. 90'Dani Vivianyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ElcheAthletic Bilbao
  • 69%Possession31%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)0
  • 15Shots4
  • 5Shots on target1
  • 6Corners2
  • 15Fouls4
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides3
  • 1Saves5
  • 596Passes271

Line-ups

Elche

  • 10Rafa Mir
  • 9André Silva
  • 6Pedro Bigas
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 21Léo Pétrot
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 8Marc Aguado
  • 13Iñaki Peña
  • 16Martim Carvalho Neto
  • 15Álvaro Núñez

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 23Robert Navarro
  • 12Jesús Areso
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1483

Recent form

ElcheDWDWL
Athletic BilbaoLDLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao35-1241
2Elche35-840

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Elche2026-09-12
  • Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Elche2026-02-20

Match preview

Elche host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 19 October 2025. Elche sit 15th on 40 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Elche have won 2 of their last 5 (DWDWL), while Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of 5 (LDLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Elche won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming