Eintracht Frankfurt vs Union Berlin: Prediction
📍 Deutsche Bank Park
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
Union BerlinLWDDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 |
| 2 | Union Berlin | 7 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 3–3 Eintracht Frankfurt2026-08-29
- Union Berlin 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt2026-02-06
- Eintracht Frankfurt 3–4 Union Berlin2025-09-21
Why the model leans Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt rate higher on our strength scale (1473 vs 1455).
- Eintracht Frankfurt are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Union Berlin won 1 of their last 5.
- Head-to-head in our records: Eintracht Frankfurt 0, Union Berlin 1, draws 2.
- Expected goals from the model: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.8, Union Berlin 1.3.
Match preview
Eintracht Frankfurt host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 14th on 8 points and Union Berlin are 15th on 7. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (LWDDD). In their last 3 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0, Union Berlin won 1 and 2 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 50%, the draw 23% and Union Berlin 27%, so Eintracht Frankfurt are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
