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Kick-off · Matchday 22

Eintracht Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig: Prediction

📍 Deutsche Bank Park

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.43 – 1.68
Team rating (Elo)1473 – 1482

Recent form

Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
RB LeipzigWLLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1RB Leipzig7+612
2Eintracht Frankfurt7-78

Head to head

  • RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt2026-10-10
  • Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 RB Leipzig2026-04-18
  • RB Leipzig 6–0 Eintracht Frankfurt2025-12-06

Why the model leans RB Leipzig

  • RB Leipzig won 3 of their last 5.
  • Head-to-head in our records: Eintracht Frankfurt 0, RB Leipzig 3, draws 0.
  • League table: Eintracht Frankfurt #14, RB Leipzig #6.
  • Expected goals from the model: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.4, RB Leipzig 1.7.

Match preview

Eintracht Frankfurt host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 14th on 8 points and RB Leipzig are 6th on 12. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while RB Leipzig have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 3 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0, RB Leipzig won 3 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 33%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 44%, so RB Leipzig are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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