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Kick-off · Matchday 26

Eintracht Frankfurt vs Paderborn: Prediction

📍 Deutsche Bank Park

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.67 – 1.44
Team rating (Elo)1473 – 1497

Recent form

Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
PaderbornWLDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Paderborn709
2Eintracht Frankfurt7-78

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Why the model leans Eintracht Frankfurt

  • Paderborn rate higher on our strength scale (1497 vs 1473).
  • Eintracht Frankfurt are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • League table: Eintracht Frankfurt #14, Paderborn #10.
  • Expected goals from the model: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.7, Paderborn 1.4.

Match preview

Eintracht Frankfurt host Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 14th on 8 points and Paderborn are 10th on 9. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Paderborn have won 2 of 5 (WLDWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 43%, the draw 24% and Paderborn 33%, so Eintracht Frankfurt are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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