Eintracht Frankfurt vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 Deutsche Bank Park
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Eintracht FrankfurtDLWLW
MainzWLWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mainz | 7 | +2 | 10 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | -7 | 8 |
Head to head
- Mainz 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt2026-03-22
Why the model leans Eintracht Frankfurt
- Mainz rate higher on our strength scale (1499 vs 1473).
- Eintracht Frankfurt are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- League table: Eintracht Frankfurt #14, Mainz #8.
- Expected goals from the model: Eintracht Frankfurt 1.7, Mainz 1.4.
Match preview
Eintracht Frankfurt host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 6 February 2027. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 14th on 8 points and Mainz are 8th on 10. Eintracht Frankfurt have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Mainz have won 2 of 5 (WLWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Eintracht Frankfurt won 0, Mainz won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Eintracht Frankfurt 43%, the draw 24% and Mainz 33%, so Eintracht Frankfurt are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
