Kick-off · Sun, 21 Mar, 02:00 pm ISTMatchday 23
Dewa United Banten vs Borneo Samarinda: Prediction
Dewa United Banten39%Home win
Borneo Samarinda39% Home win26% Draw35% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.40 – 1.30
Team rating (Elo)1539 – 1582
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +2 | 14 | |
| 2 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Borneo Samarinda 1–3 Dewa United Banten2026-09-16
- Dewa United Banten 2–1 Borneo Samarinda2026-02-22
- Borneo Samarinda 4–0 Dewa United Banten2025-11-05
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.