Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 3

Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1468

Recent form

Deportivo AlavésDWWLD
VillarrealDLLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal10011
2Deportivo Alavés10-59

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Villarreal2026-03-13
  • Villarreal 3–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-01-10

Match preview

Deportivo Alavés host Villarreal in the La Liga on 28 August 2026. Deportivo Alavés sit 15th on 9 points and Villarreal are 10th on 11. Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWLD), while Villarreal have won 1 of 5 (DLLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming