Deportivo Alavés vs Villarreal: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Mendizorroza
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- Lucas Boyéyellow card36'
- ⚽Rafa Marínown goal40'
- Youssef Enríquezyellow card50'
- 58'Sergi Cardonayellow card
- 59'⇄Tajon Buchananon
- 59'⇄Sergi Cardonaon
- 67'⇄Pape Gueyeon
- ⇄Carles Aleñáon75'
- ⇄Youssef Enríquezon80'
- 83'⇄Santiago Mouriñoon
- 83'⇄Georges Mikautadzeon
- Antonio Blancoyellow card90'
- Antonio Siverayellow card90'
- ⇄Nahuel Tenagliaon90'
- ⇄Toni Martínezon90'
- 90'⚽Nicolas Pépéassist Santi Comesaña
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 0.22Expected goals (xG)0.59
- 8Shots10
- 0Shots on target4
- 5Corners2
- 19Fouls11
- 4Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 3Saves0
- 345Passes387
Line-ups
Deportivo Alavés
- 11Toni Martínez
- 10Carles Aleñá
- 1Antonio Sivera
- 15Lucas Boyé
- 17Jonathan Otto
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 14Nahuel Tenaglia
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 24Víctor Parada
- 3Youssef Enríquez
Villarreal
- 24Alfonso Pedraza
- 19Nicolas Pépé
- 17Tajon Buchanan
- 18Pape Gueye
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 1Luiz Júnior
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 15Santiago Mouriño
- 9Georges Mikautadze
- 4Rafa Marín
- 6Pau Navarro
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Deportivo AlavésWLDDL
VillarrealWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Villarreal | 35 | +23 | 66 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 35 | -8 | 43 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Villarreal2026-08-28
- Villarreal 3–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-01-10
Match preview
Deportivo Alavés host Villarreal in the La Liga on 13 March 2026. Deportivo Alavés sit 9th on 43 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of their last 5 (WLDDL), while Villarreal have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 1, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
