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FTMatchday 9

Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mendizorroza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
Deportivo AlavésValencia
  1. Yusiyellow card29'
  2. Pablo Ibáñezon60'
  3. Abdeon60'
  4. Calebe Gonçalves Ferreira da Silvaon61'
  5. Toni Martínezon71'
  6. 71'Arnaut Danjumaon
  7. 80'José Copeteon
  8. 80'Hugo Duroon
  9. 80'Javi Guerraon
  10. 82'Diego Lópezyellow card
  11. 85'Baptiste Santamariayellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Deportivo AlavésValencia
  • 63%Possession37%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)0
  • 13Shots5
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 7Corners0
  • 13Fouls20
  • 1Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 2Saves3
  • 511Passes311

Line-ups

Deportivo Alavés

  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 1Antonio Sivera
  • 15Lucas Boyé
  • 17Jonathan Otto
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 5Jon Pacheco
  • 14Nahuel Tenaglia
  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 21Abde Rebbach
  • 20Calebe
  • 3Youssef Enríquez

Valencia

  • 14Jose Luis Gaya
  • 11Luis Rioja
  • 7Arnaut Danjuma
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 9Hugo Duro
  • 18Pepelu
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala
  • 16Diego López
  • 3José Copete
  • 8Javi Guerra
  • 5César Tárrega Requeni

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1467

Recent form

Deportivo AlavésWLDLW
ValenciaLWDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés35-843
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 0–1 Valencia2026-09-15
  • Valencia 3–2 Deportivo Alavés2026-03-08

Match preview

Deportivo Alavés host Valencia in the La Liga on 20 October 2025. Deportivo Alavés sit 9th on 43 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Valencia have won 1 of 5 (LWDLL). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 0, Valencia won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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