FTMatchday 15

Deportivo Alavés vs Real Sociedad: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mendizorroza

Deportivo Alavés1

Real Sociedad0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Deportivo AlavésReal Sociedad

29'Jon Gorrotxategiyellow card
39'Jon Aramburuyellow card
Lucas Boyéassist Lucas Boyé45'
Calebeon51'
56'Umar Sadiqon
56'Aritz Elustondoon
Ander Guevarayellow card62'
Nahuel Tenagliayellow card69'
Abde Rebbachon76'
Ander Guevaraon76'
78'Takefusa Kuboon
78'Jon Gorrotxategion
87'Carlos Soleron
Denis Suárezon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Deportivo AlavésReal Sociedad

38%Possession62%
1Expected goals (xG)1
14Shots10
3Shots on target1
5Corners8
20Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides0
1Saves2
327Passes555

Line-ups

Deportivo Alavés

4Denis Suárez
1Antonio Sivera
6Ander Guevara
15Lucas Boyé
17Jonathan Otto
5Jon Pacheco
14Nahuel Tenaglia
19Pablo Ibáñez
24Víctor Parada
21Abde Rebbach
20Calebe

Real Sociedad

11Goncalo Guedes
6Aritz Elustondo
23Brais Méndez
1Álex Remiro
17Sergio Gómez
18Carlos Soler
14Takefusa Kubo
15Umar Sadiq
2Jon Aramburu
31Jon Martín
4Jon Gorrotxategi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1510

Recent form

Deportivo AlavésDLWLL

Real SociedadDWWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Deportivo Alavés	35	-8	43
2	Real Sociedad	35	-5	39

Head to head

Real Sociedad 3–3 Deportivo Alavés2026-04-11

Match preview

Deportivo Alavés host Real Sociedad in the La Liga on 6 December 2025. Deportivo Alavés sit 9th on 43 points and Real Sociedad are 18th on 39. Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLL), while Real Sociedad have won 2 of 5 (DWWDL). In their last 1 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 0, Real Sociedad won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.