Kick-off · Sun, 23 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 37
Deportivo Alavés vs Real Madrid: Prediction
Deportivo Alavés54%Away win
Real Madrid22% Home win24% Draw54% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.00 – 1.69
Team rating (Elo)1469 – 1557
Recent form
Deportivo AlavésLDLLDReal MadridWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 2–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-04-21
- Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Real Madrid2025-12-14
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
