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FTMatchday 38

Deportivo Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1502

Recent form

Deportivo AlavésWLDWW
Rayo VallecanoDWDDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano35-248
2Deportivo Alavés35-843

Head to head

  • Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Deportivo Alavés2026-08-20
  • Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Deportivo Alavés2025-10-26

Match preview

Deportivo Alavés host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 23 May 2026. Deportivo Alavés sit 9th on 43 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Deportivo Alavés have won 3 of their last 5 (WLDWW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of 5 (DWDDW). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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