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FTMatchday 4

Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1431

Recent form

Deportivo AlavésWWLDW
OsasunaLLLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés10-59
2Osasuna9-118

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 2–2 Osasuna2026-04-05
  • Osasuna 3–0 Deportivo Alavés2025-12-20

Match preview

Deportivo Alavés host Osasuna in the La Liga on 6 September 2026. Deportivo Alavés sit 15th on 9 points and Osasuna are 18th on 8. Deportivo Alavés have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLDW), while Osasuna have won 1 of 5 (LLLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 0, Osasuna won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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