FTMatchday 8
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
Deportivo Alavés1–2
Atlético MadridNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1469 – 1517
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +10 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 1–0 Deportivo Alavés2026-01-18
- Deportivo Alavés 1–1 Atlético Madrid2025-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.