Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio de Mendizorroza
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 7'⚽Giuliano Simeone
- ⚽Carlos Vicentepenalty14'
- 29'Johnny Cardosoyellow card
- Moussa Diarrayellow card38'
- 42'Alexander Sørlothyellow card
- ⇄Jon Guridion57'
- ⇄Moussa Diarraon58'
- Víctor Paradayellow card84'
- 90'Kokeyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 40%Possession60%
- 0.92Expected goals (xG)1.09
- 5Shots15
- 2Shots on target6
- 1Corners6
- 10Fouls17
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 5Saves1
- 377Passes548
Line-ups
Deportivo Alavés
- 11Toni Martínez
- 18Jon Guridi
- 10Carles Aleñá
- 1Antonio Sivera
- 22Moussa Diarra
- 17Jonathan Otto
- 8Antonio Blanco
- 14Nahuel Tenaglia
- 19Pablo Ibáñez
- 2Facundo Garcés
- 7Carlos Vicente
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 5Johnny Cardoso
- 11Thiago Almada
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Deportivo AlavésW
Atlético MadridL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 35 | +16 | 62 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alavés | 35 | -8 | 43 |
Head to head
- Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid2026-10-10
- Atlético Madrid 1–0 Deportivo Alavés2026-01-18
Match preview
Deportivo Alavés host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 30 August 2025. Deportivo Alavés sit 9th on 43 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Atlético Madrid have won 0 of 1 (L). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
