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FTMatchday 34

Deportivo Alavés vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio de Mendizorroza

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
Deportivo AlavésAthletic Bilbao
  1. -5'Mikel Jauregizaryellow card
  2. Antonio Blancoassist Angel Pérez Hidalgo8'
  3. Toni Martínezyellow card28'
  4. 46'Iñaki Williamson
  5. 46'Mikel Jauregizaron
  6. 46'Unai Gómezon
  7. 46'Robert Navarroassist Nico Williams
  8. Pablo Ibáñezyellow card49'
  9. Antonio Blancoyellow card59'
  10. 59'Gorka Guruzetayellow card
  11. Denis Suárezon62'
  12. Pablo Ibáñezon62'
  13. Nahuel Tenagliaassist Abde Rebbach68'
  14. Ibrahim Diabateon73'
  15. 73'Andoni Gorosabelon
  16. 74'Oihan Sancetassist Yuri Berchiche
  17. 76'Nico Williamsyellow card
  18. 83'Nico Williamsassist Gorka Guruzeta
  19. 87'Nico Williamsassist Gorka Guruzeta
  20. 89'Nico Williamson
  21. Carles Aleñáyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Deportivo AlavésAthletic Bilbao
  • 50%Possession50%
  • 0.49Expected goals (xG)0.92
  • 7Shots9
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 4Corners6
  • 8Fouls13
  • 4Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides0
  • 0Saves2
  • 402Passes402

Line-ups

Deportivo Alavés

  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 4Denis Suárez
  • 1Antonio Sivera
  • 17Jonathan Otto
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 14Nahuel Tenaglia
  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 22Ibrahim Diabate
  • 24Víctor Parada
  • 21Abde Rebbach
  • 7Angel Pérez Hidalgo

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 5Yeray
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 10Nico Williams
  • 20Unai Gómez
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 30Alejandro Rego

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1462 – 1483

Recent form

Deportivo AlavésWDDLW
Athletic BilbaoWLLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés35-843
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 0–0 Deportivo Alavés2026-09-19
  • Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Deportivo Alavés2025-09-13

Match preview

Deportivo Alavés host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 2 May 2026. Deportivo Alavés sit 9th on 43 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Deportivo Alavés have won 2 of their last 5 (WDDLW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of 5 (WLLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Deportivo Alavés won 1, Athletic Bilbao won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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