Kick-off · Sat, 27 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 27
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland: Prediction
Crystal Palace44%Home win
Sunderland44% Home win25% Draw31% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.55 – 1.27
Team rating (Elo)1435 – 1451
Recent form
Crystal PalaceLDWLLSunderlandLLLLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 2 | Sunderland | 8 | -8 | 5 |
Head to head
- Sunderland 2–1 Crystal Palace2026-01-17
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Sunderland2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
