Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 38
Crystal Palace vs Leeds United: Prediction
Crystal Palace40%Away win
Leeds United35% Home win25% Draw40% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.34 – 1.46
Team rating (Elo)1521 – 1502
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +3 | 11 | |
| 2 | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 0–0 Crystal Palace2026-09-20
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds United2026-03-15
- Leeds United 4–1 Crystal Palace2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.