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FTMatchday 30

Crystal Palace vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Selhurst Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Crystal PalaceLeeds United
  1. 26'Gabriel Gudmundssonyellow card
  2. 31'Jaka Bijolyellow card
  3. Will Hughesyellow card44'
  4. 45'Dominic Calvert-Lewinpenalty
  5. Dominic Calvert-Lewinyellow card45'
  6. 45'Gabriel Gudmundssonyellow card
  7. 45'Gabriel Gudmundssonred card
  8. 46'Lukas Nmechaon
  9. 46'Brenden Aaronsonon
  10. Brennan Johnsonyellow card54'
  11. Will Hugheson60'
  12. Jørgen Strand Larsenon60'
  13. Brennan Johnsonon80'
  14. Jaydee Canvoton80'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Crystal PalaceLeeds United
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 0.67Expected goals (xG)1.12
  • 12Shots10
  • 0Shots on target3
  • 8Corners3
  • 12Fouls11
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 5Offsides2
  • 3Saves0
  • 448Passes221

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

  • 19Will Hughes
  • 8Jefferson Lerma
  • 7Ismaïla Sarr
  • 3Tyrick Mitchell
  • 5Maxence Lacroix
  • 26Chris Richards
  • 44Walter Benítez
  • 11Brennan Johnson
  • 29Evann Guessand
  • 22Jørgen Strand Larsen
  • 23Jaydee Canvot

Leeds United

  • 26Karl Darlow
  • 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
  • 6Joe Rodon
  • 15Jaka Bijol
  • 24James Justin
  • 4Ethan Ampadu
  • 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
  • 5Pascal Struijk
  • 11Brenden Aaronson
  • 18Anton Stach
  • 14Lukas Nmecha

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1521 – 1502

Recent form

Crystal PalaceWLWLW
Leeds UnitedWDDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Leeds United38-747
2Crystal Palace38-1045

Head to head

  • Leeds United 0–0 Crystal Palace2026-09-20
  • Leeds United 4–1 Crystal Palace2025-12-20

Match preview

Crystal Palace host Leeds United in the Premier League on 15 March 2026. Crystal Palace sit 15th on 45 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Crystal Palace have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWLW), while Leeds United have won 1 of 5 (WDDLL). In their last 2 meetings, Crystal Palace won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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