FTMatchday 26

Crystal Palace vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace2

Burnley3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Crystal PalaceBurnley

Jørgen Strand Larsenassist Adam Wharton17'
Jørgen Strand Larsenassist Jefferson Lerma33'
Chris Richardsyellow card35'
Jefferson Lermayellow card36'
40'Hannibal Mejbriassist Marcus Edwards
44'Jaidon Anthonyassist Chimuanya Ugochukwu
45'Jefferson Lermaown goal
Jefferson Lermaon46'
Evann Guessandon58'
Daichi Kamadaon72'
Daniel Muñozon72'
73'Marcus Edwardson
73'Zian Flemmingon
74'Hannibal Mejbriyellow card
Adam Whartonon83'
83'Hannibal Mejbrion
87'Chimuanya Ugochukwuon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Crystal PalaceBurnley

65%Possession35%
1.80Expected goals (xG)0.53
21Shots8
3Shots on target3
8Corners2
11Fouls8
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
1Saves1
572Passes316

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

1Dean Henderson
8Jefferson Lerma
7Ismaïla Sarr
18Daichi Kamada
3Tyrick Mitchell
5Maxence Lacroix
26Chris Richards
2Daniel Muñoz
29Evann Guessand
22Jørgen Strand Larsen
20Adam Wharton

Burnley

2Kyle Walker
1Martin Dubravka
4Joe Worrall
29Josh Laurent
19Zian Flemming
11Jaidon Anthony
8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
10Marcus Edwards
5Maxime Esteve
28Hannibal Mejbri
12Bashir Humphreys

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1521 – 1497

Recent form

Crystal PalaceDLLDW

BurnleyDDDLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Crystal Palace	38	-10	45
2	Burnley	38	-37	22

Head to head

Burnley 0–1 Crystal Palace2025-12-03

Match preview

Crystal Palace host Burnley in the Premier League on 11 February 2026. Crystal Palace sit 15th on 45 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Crystal Palace have won 1 of their last 5 (DLLDW), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (DDDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Crystal Palace won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.