Kick-off · Thu, 31 Dec, 01:00 am ISTMatchday 18
Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth: Prediction
Crystal Palace43%Away win
Bournemouth32% Home win25% Draw43% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.29 – 1.52
Team rating (Elo)1434 – 1531
Recent form
Crystal PalaceLDWLLBournemouthDLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 8 | -1 | 9 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace2026-05-03
- Crystal Palace 3–3 Bournemouth2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
