Kick-off · Sat, 1 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 34
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Crystal Palace41%Away win
Aston Villa34% Home win25% Draw41% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.33 – 1.48
Team rating (Elo)1435 – 1518
Recent form
Crystal PalaceLDWLLAston VillaLWDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa2026-01-07
- Aston Villa 0–3 Crystal Palace2025-08-31
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
