Kick-off · Mon, 28 Dec, 12:30 am ISTMatchday 17
Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: Prediction
Crystal Palace59%Away win
Arsenal19% Home win22% Draw59% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.01 – 1.94
Team rating (Elo)1434 – 1644
Recent form
Crystal PalaceLDWLLArsenalWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Crystal Palace 1–2 Arsenal2026-05-24
- Arsenal 1–0 Crystal Palace2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
