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FTMatchday 1

Coventry City vs Luton Town: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Coventry CityLuton Town
  1. 40'Tom Holmesyellow card
  2. Bobby Thomason46'
  3. 46'Cohen Bramallon
  4. Ellis Simmsassist Haji Wright57'
  5. 59'Gideon Koduaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1500 – 1492

Recent form

Coventry City–
Luton Town–
#TeamPGDPts
2Luton Town1-10

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Coventry City host Luton Town in the EFL Cup on 12 August 2025. Coventry City sit 32nd on 3 points and Luton Town are 75th on 0. There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.