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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Como vs AEK Athens: Prediction

Como
53%Home win
AEK Athens

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.87 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1520 – 1481

Recent form

ComoLWWWW
AEK AthensWLL
#TeamPGDPts
2AEK Athens3-53

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Como host AEK Athens in the UEFA Champions League on 24 November 2026. Como sit 24th on 6 points and AEK Athens are 59th on 3. Como have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while AEK Athens have won 1 of 3 (WLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Como 53%, the draw 23% and AEK Athens 24%, so Como are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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