FTMatchday 9

Chelsea vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Chelsea1

Sunderland2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

ChelseaSunderland

Alejandro Garnachoassist Pedro Neto4'
22'Wilson Isidor
Alejandro Garnachoon58'
65'Bertrand Traoreon
69'Enzo Le Féeyellow card
75'Wilson Isidoron
75'Enzo Le Féeon
Josh Acheampongon76'
Marc Guiuon76'
Pedro Netoon85'
João Pedroon85'
Andrey Santosyellow card88'
90'Chemsdine Talbiassist Brian Brobbey

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaSunderland

69%Possession31%
1Expected goals (xG)1
16Shots10
7Shots on target4
9Corners1
15Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Offsides2
2Saves6
624Passes281

Line-ups

Chelsea

1Robert Sanchez
20João Pedro
24Reece James
7Pedro Neto
3Marc Cucurella
23Trevoh Chalobah
25Moisés Caicedo
8Enzo Fernández
49Alejandro Garnacho
38Marc Guiu
34Josh Acheampong

Sunderland

25Bertrand Traore
34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
6Lutsharel Geertruida
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
5Daniel Ballard
32Trai Hume
18Wilson Isidor
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1498

Recent form

ChelseaLWWWW

SunderlandDDWLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Sunderland	38	-6	54
2	Chelsea	38	+6	52

Head to head

Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea2026-05-24

Match preview

Chelsea host Sunderland in the Premier League on 25 October 2025. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Sunderland have won 2 of 5 (DDWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Sunderland won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.