FTMatchday 35

Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Chelsea1

Nottingham Forest3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

ChelseaNottingham Forest

2'Taiwo Awoniyiassist Dilane Bakwa
10'Moratoyellow card
Malo Gustoyellow card14'
15'Igor Jesuspenalty
Jesse Derryon45'
45'Zach Abbotton
Tosin Adarabioyoon46'
46'Jair Cunhaon
46'Igor Jesuson
46'Nicolás Domínguezon
52'Taiwo Awoniyiassist Morgan Gibbs-White
Roméo Laviaon58'
Robert Sanchezon66'
66'Robert Sanchezon
Liam Delapyellow card78'
Moisés Caicedoyellow card78'
80'Dilane Bakwaon
João Pedroassist Marc Cucurella90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaNottingham Forest

68%Possession32%
1.93Expected goals (xG)2.07
21Shots6
5Shots on target4
10Corners1
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
1Saves4
649Passes325

Line-ups

Chelsea

4Tosin Adarabioyo
1Robert Sanchez
20João Pedro
3Marc Cucurella
23Trevoh Chalobah
27Malo Gusto
25Moisés Caicedo
10Cole Palmer
45Roméo Lavia
8Enzo Fernández
55Jesse Derry

Nottingham Forest

26Matz Sels
9Taiwo Awoniyi
16Nicolás Domínguez
22Ryan Yates
29Dilane Bakwa
25Luca Netz
4Morato
24James McAtee
19Igor Jesus
44Zach Abbott
23Jair Cunha

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1492

Recent form

ChelseaLLLLL

Nottingham ForestDWDWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea	38	+6	52
2	Nottingham Forest	38	-3	44

Head to head

Nottingham Forest 0–3 Chelsea2025-10-18

Match preview

Chelsea host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 4 May 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Nottingham Forest are 16th on 44. Chelsea have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Nottingham Forest have won 3 of 5 (DWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 1, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.