Chelsea vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 18'⚽Anthony Gordonassist Joe Willock
- Wesley Fofanayellow card23'
- Moisés Caicedoyellow card25'
- ⇄Malo Gustoon46'
- ⇄Moisés Caicedoon61'
- 67'⇄Nick Woltemadeon
- 77'⇄Joe Willockon
- 78'⇄Jacob Murphyon
- ⇄Wesley Fofanaon82'
- 84'Aaron Ramsdaleyellow card
- 89'Lewis Hallyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 1.43Expected goals (xG)1.42
- 22Shots7
- 3Shots on target5
- 8Corners1
- 9Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 4Saves3
- 661Passes331
Line-ups
Chelsea
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 20João Pedro
- 24Reece James
- 3Marc Cucurella
- 29Wesley Fofana
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 27Malo Gusto
- 25Moisés Caicedo
- 10Cole Palmer
- 8Enzo Fernández
- 49Alejandro Garnacho
Newcastle United
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 11Harvey Barnes
- 32Aaron Ramsdale
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 10Anthony Gordon
- 4Sven Botman
- 28Joe Willock
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 21Valentino Livramento
- 3Lewis Hall
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ChelseaWDDLW
Newcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 38 | +6 | 52 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea2025-12-20
Match preview
Chelsea host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 14 March 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Chelsea have won 2 of their last 5 (WDDLW), while Newcastle United have won 2 of 5 (LWLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Newcastle United won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
