FTMatchday 33

Chelsea vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Chelsea0

Manchester United1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

ChelseaManchester United

Estêvãoon16'
25'Matheus Cunhayellow card
Jorrel Hatoyellow card39'
43'Matheus Cunhaassist Bruno Fernandes
80'Benjamin Šeškoon
Wesley Fofanaon81'
Malo Gustoon81'
81'Matheus Cunhaon
87'Bryan Mbeumoon
Enzo Fernándezon88'
90'Kobbie Mainooyellow card
90'Mason Mountyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaManchester United

59%Possession41%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.29
21Shots4
3Shots on target1
7Corners1
12Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
1Saves3
601Passes416

Line-ups

Chelsea

1Robert Sanchez
7Pedro Neto
3Marc Cucurella
29Wesley Fofana
9Liam Delap
27Malo Gusto
25Moisés Caicedo
10Cole Palmer
8Enzo Fernández
21Jorrel Hato
41Estêvão

Manchester United

23Luke Shaw
18Casemiro
8Bruno Fernandes
2Diogo Dalot
3Noussair Mazraoui
10Matheus Cunha
19Bryan Mbeumo
31Senne Lammens
30Benjamin Šeško
37Kobbie Mainoo
26Ayden Heaven

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1502

Recent form

ChelseaLWLLL

Manchester UnitedWLWDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester United	38	+19	71
2	Chelsea	38	+6	52

Head to head

Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United2026-10-31
Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea2025-09-20

Match preview

Chelsea host Manchester United in the Premier League on 18 April 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLLL), while Manchester United have won 2 of 5 (WLWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 1, Manchester United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.