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FTMatchday 32

Chelsea vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
ChelseaManchester City
  1. Estêvãoyellow card12'
  2. 38'Antoine Semenyoyellow card
  3. 51'Nico O'Reillyassist Rayan Cherki
  4. Marc Cucurellayellow card54'
  5. 57'Marc Guéhiassist Rayan Cherki
  6. 64'Nico O'Reillyon
  7. Andrey Santoson67'
  8. Estêvãoon67'
  9. 68'Jérémy Doku
  10. 76'Rayan Cherkion
  11. 76'Jérémy Dokuon
  12. 81'Bernardo Silvaon
  13. João Pedroon81'
  14. Moisés Caicedoon82'
  15. Malo Gustoon88'
  16. Dário Essugoyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaManchester City
  • 36%Possession64%
  • 1.14Expected goals (xG)1.89
  • 12Shots18
  • 3Shots on target8
  • 4Corners12
  • 10Fouls14
  • 3Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 6Offsides0
  • 5Saves3
  • 385Passes677

Line-ups

Chelsea

  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 3Marc Cucurella
  • 29Wesley Fofana
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 10Cole Palmer
  • 17Andrey Santos
  • 21Jorrel Hato
  • 41Estêvão

Manchester City

  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 16Rodri
  • 42Antoine Semenyo
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 10Rayan Cherki
  • 11Jérémy Doku
  • 15Marc Guéhi
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 45Abduqodir Khusanov
  • 33Nico O'Reilly

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1535

Recent form

ChelseaDLWLL
Manchester CityWWWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City38+4278
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea2026-01-04

Match preview

Chelsea host Manchester City in the Premier League on 12 April 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 (DLWLL), while Manchester City have won 3 of 5 (WWWDD). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Manchester City won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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