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FTMatchday 7

Chelsea vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
ChelseaLiverpool
  1. Moisés Caicedoassist Malo Gusto14'
  2. 34'Conor Bradleyyellow card
  3. 46'Conor Bradleyon
  4. Benoit Badiashileon55'
  5. 55'Milos Kerkezon
  6. 56'Ibrahima Konateon
  7. 63'Cody Gakpoassist Alexander Isak
  8. Josh Acheampongon68'
  9. 74'Alexander Isakon
  10. João Pedroon74'
  11. Alejandro Garnachoon75'
  12. Pedro Netoon75'
  13. 79'Dominik Szoboszlaiyellow card
  14. 86'Alexis Mac Allisteron
  15. Estêvão90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaLiverpool
  • 53%Possession47%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1.95
  • 12Shots12
  • 6Shots on target2
  • 7Corners2
  • 9Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 1Saves4
  • 508Passes450

Line-ups

Chelsea

  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 5Benoit Badiashile
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 3Marc Cucurella
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 8Enzo Fernández
  • 49Alejandro Garnacho
  • 34Josh Acheampong

Liverpool

  • 11Mohamed Salah
  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 9Alexander Isak
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 18Cody Gakpo
  • 10Alexis Mac Allister
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • 12Conor Bradley
  • 6Milos Kerkez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1488

Recent form

ChelseaLLWLW
LiverpoolWWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Liverpool38+1060
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea2026-05-09

Match preview

Chelsea host Liverpool in the Premier League on 4 October 2025. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Chelsea have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWLW), while Liverpool have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Liverpool won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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