FTMatchday 26

Chelsea vs Leeds United: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Chelsea2

Leeds United2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

ChelseaLeeds United

Malo Gustoyellow card8'
Josh Acheampongyellow card15'
19'Gabriel Gudmundssonyellow card
22'Sebastiaan Bornauwyellow card
João Pedroassist Cole Palmer24'
45'James Justinyellow card
Marc Cucurellaon46'
55'Sebastiaan Bornauwon
Cole Palmerpenalty58'
Estêvãoon64'
Cole Palmeryellow card67'
67'Lukas Nmechapenalty
73'Noah Okaforassist Lukas Nmecha
Josh Acheampongon79'
Andrey Santoson79'
82'Lukas Nmechaon
Moisés Caicedoyellow card90'
90'Sean Longstaffyellow card
90'Brenden Aaronsonon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaLeeds United

66%Possession34%
3.13Expected goals (xG)1.44
19Shots4
4Shots on target2
4Corners1
9Fouls13
4Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
4Offsides1
0Saves2
644Passes336

Line-ups

Chelsea

1Robert Sanchez
20João Pedro
3Marc Cucurella
23Trevoh Chalobah
27Malo Gusto
25Moisés Caicedo
10Cole Palmer
17Andrey Santos
8Enzo Fernández
41Estêvão
34Josh Acheampong

Leeds United

26Karl Darlow
6Joe Rodon
15Jaka Bijol
24James Justin
23Sebastiaan Bornauw
4Ethan Ampadu
3Gabriel Gudmundsson
2Jayden Bogle
11Brenden Aaronson
14Lukas Nmecha
44Ilia Gruev

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1502

Recent form

ChelseaLWWWW

Leeds UnitedLWDLW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Chelsea	38	+6	52
2	Leeds United	38	-7	47

Head to head

Leeds United 3–1 Chelsea2025-12-03

Match preview

Chelsea host Leeds United in the Premier League on 10 February 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (LWDLW). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Leeds United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.