Kick-off · Sat, 10 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 31
Chelsea vs Fulham: Prediction
Chelsea49%Home win
Fulham49% Home win24% Draw27% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.67 – 1.17
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1483
Recent form
ChelseaDLWWLFulhamDDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Fulham 2–3 Chelsea2026-08-24
- Fulham 2–1 Chelsea2026-01-07
- Chelsea 2–0 Fulham2025-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
