Chelsea vs Burnley: Prediction
📍 Stamford Bridge
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- ⚽João Pedroassist Pedro Neto4'
- 30'Hannibal Mejbriyellow card
- Wesley Fofanayellow card34'
- 46'⇄Kyle Walkeron
- 57'⇄Chimuanya Ugochukwuon
- Wesley Fofanayellow card72'
- Wesley Fofanared card72'
- ⇄Cole Palmeron75'
- 78'⇄Josh Laurenton
- ⇄Malo Gustoon80'
- ⇄João Pedroon80'
- 83'⇄Bashir Humphreyson
- 84'⇄Jaidon Anthonyon
- ⇄Pedro Netoon88'
- ⇄Reece Jameson89'
- Robert Sanchezyellow card90'
- 90'⚽Zian Flemmingassist James Ward-Prowse
- 90'Josh Laurentyellow card
- Jorrel Hatoyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 1.99Expected goals (xG)0.85
- 12Shots12
- 2Shots on target4
- 9Corners5
- 13Fouls11
- 4Yellow cards2
- 1Red cards0
- 2Offsides4
- 3Saves1
- 605Passes302
Line-ups
Chelsea
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 20João Pedro
- 24Reece James
- 7Pedro Neto
- 29Wesley Fofana
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 27Malo Gusto
- 25Moisés Caicedo
- 10Cole Palmer
- 17Andrey Santos
- 8Enzo Fernández
Burnley
- 2Kyle Walker
- 1Martin Dubravka
- 4Joe Worrall
- 29Josh Laurent
- 19Zian Flemming
- 11Jaidon Anthony
- 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
- 10Marcus Edwards
- 5Maxime Esteve
- 28Hannibal Mejbri
- 12Bashir Humphreys
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | +6 | 52 | |
| 2 | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Burnley 0–2 Chelsea2025-11-22
Match preview
Chelsea host Burnley in the Premier League on 21 February 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Burnley have won 1 of 5 (DDLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

