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FTMatchday 27

Chelsea vs Burnley: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ChelseaBurnley
  1. João Pedroassist Pedro Neto4'
  2. 30'Hannibal Mejbriyellow card
  3. Wesley Fofanayellow card34'
  4. 46'Kyle Walkeron
  5. 57'Chimuanya Ugochukwuon
  6. Wesley Fofanayellow card72'
  7. Wesley Fofanared card72'
  8. Cole Palmeron75'
  9. 78'Josh Laurenton
  10. Malo Gustoon80'
  11. João Pedroon80'
  12. 83'Bashir Humphreyson
  13. 84'Jaidon Anthonyon
  14. Pedro Netoon88'
  15. Reece Jameson89'
  16. Robert Sanchezyellow card90'
  17. 90'Zian Flemmingassist James Ward-Prowse
  18. 90'Josh Laurentyellow card
  19. Jorrel Hatoyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaBurnley
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 1.99Expected goals (xG)0.85
  • 12Shots12
  • 2Shots on target4
  • 9Corners5
  • 13Fouls11
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 1Red cards0
  • 2Offsides4
  • 3Saves1
  • 605Passes302

Line-ups

Chelsea

  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 29Wesley Fofana
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 10Cole Palmer
  • 17Andrey Santos
  • 8Enzo Fernández

Burnley

  • 2Kyle Walker
  • 1Martin Dubravka
  • 4Joe Worrall
  • 29Josh Laurent
  • 19Zian Flemming
  • 11Jaidon Anthony
  • 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
  • 10Marcus Edwards
  • 5Maxime Esteve
  • 28Hannibal Mejbri
  • 12Bashir Humphreys

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1497

Recent form

ChelseaWWWWD
BurnleyDDLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Chelsea38+652
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Burnley 0–2 Chelsea2025-11-22

Match preview

Chelsea host Burnley in the Premier League on 21 February 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Burnley have won 1 of 5 (DDLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Chelsea won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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