FTMatchday 22

Chelsea vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Chelsea2

Brentford0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

ChelseaBrentford

João Pedroassist Enzo Fernández26'
36'Kevin Schadeyellow card
45'Vitaly Janeltyellow card
Alejandro Garnachoon57'
Tosin Adarabioyoon58'
Marc Cucurellayellow card67'
João Pedroon74'
Cole Palmerpenalty76'
77'Mikkel Damsgaardon
82'Kevin Schadeon
82'Rico Henryon
Wesley Fofanayellow card83'
Enzo Fernándezon85'
Reece Jameson85'
Cole Palmeryellow card90'
90'Yehor Yarmolyukon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaBrentford

46%Possession54%
1.59Expected goals (xG)1.54
6Shots15
2Shots on target5
3Corners9
7Fouls10
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
0Offsides1
6Saves0
432Passes493

Line-ups

Chelsea

4Tosin Adarabioyo
1Robert Sanchez
20João Pedro
24Reece James
7Pedro Neto
3Marc Cucurella
23Trevoh Chalobah
25Moisés Caicedo
10Cole Palmer
8Enzo Fernández
49Alejandro Garnacho

Brentford

3Rico Henry
20Kristoffer Ajer
1Caoimhín Kelleher
24Mikkel Damsgaard
8Mathias Jensen
27Vitaly Janelt
22Nathan Michael Collins
7Kevin Schade
33Michael Kayode
18Yehor Yarmolyuk
9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1541

Recent form

ChelseaDLDDL

BrentfordWWDWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Brentford	38	+3	53
2	Chelsea	38	+6	52

Head to head

Brentford 3–0 Chelsea2026-09-18
Brentford 2–2 Chelsea2025-09-13

Match preview

Chelsea host Brentford in the Premier League on 17 January 2026. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Chelsea have won 0 of their last 5 (DLDDL), while Brentford have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Brentford won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.