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FTMatchday 13

Chelsea vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Stamford Bridge

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ChelseaArsenal
  1. 5'Martín Zubimendiyellow card
  2. Marc Cucurellayellow card11'
  3. 13'Cristhian Mosquerayellow card
  4. 27'Riccardo Calafioriyellow card
  5. Moisés Caicedored card38'
  6. 41'Piero Hincapiéyellow card
  7. Estêvãoon46'
  8. 46'Riccardo Calafiorion
  9. Trevoh Chalobahassist Reece James48'
  10. 54'Myles Lewis-Skellyyellow card
  11. João Pedroon55'
  12. 57'Martín Zubimendion
  13. 57'Gabriel Martinellion
  14. 59'Mikel Merinoassist Bukayo Saka
  15. 72'Eberechi Ezeon
  16. 88'Viktor Gyökeresyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ChelseaArsenal
  • 38%Possession62%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots8
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 3Corners3
  • 12Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards6
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 3Saves3
  • 269Passes459

Line-ups

Chelsea

  • 1Robert Sanchez
  • 20João Pedro
  • 24Reece James
  • 7Pedro Neto
  • 3Marc Cucurella
  • 29Wesley Fofana
  • 23Trevoh Chalobah
  • 27Malo Gusto
  • 25Moisés Caicedo
  • 8Enzo Fernández
  • 41Estêvão

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori
  • 5Piero Hincapié
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1532

Recent form

ChelseaWDWWW
ArsenalWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-09-06
  • Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-03-01

Match preview

Chelsea host Arsenal in the Premier League on 30 November 2025. Chelsea sit 10th on 52 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (WDWWW), while Arsenal have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 2 meetings, Chelsea won 0, Arsenal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming