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FTMatchday 3

Chelsea vs Ajax: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1446

Recent form

ChelseaWLWWW
AjaxLL
#TeamPGDPts
2Ajax5-150

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Chelsea host Ajax in the UEFA Champions League on 22 October 2025. Chelsea sit 7th on 10 points and Ajax are 36th on 0. Chelsea have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while Ajax have won 0 of 2 (LL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming