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Kick-off · Matchday 14

Celta Vigo vs Villarreal: Prediction

Celta Vigo
40%Home win
Villarreal

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.37 – 1.23
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1468

Recent form

Celta VigoWDWDL
VillarrealWDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo10+112
2Villarreal10011

Head to head

  • Villarreal 2–1 Celta Vigo2026-04-26
  • Celta Vigo 1–1 Villarreal2025-08-31

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Villarreal in the La Liga on 29 November 2026. Celta Vigo sit 8th on 12 points and Villarreal are 10th on 11. Celta Vigo have won 2 of their last 5 (WDWDL), while Villarreal have won 2 of 5 (WDLWL). In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Celta Vigo 40%, the draw 26% and Villarreal 34%, so Celta Vigo are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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