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FTMatchday 18

Celta Vigo vs Valencia: Prediction

📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Celta VigoValencia
  1. Williot Swedbergon28'
  2. Borja Iglesiaspenalty33'
  3. 53'Hugo Duroyellow card
  4. 57'Lucas Beltránon
  5. 57'Thierry Correiaon
  6. Borja Iglesiasassist Pablo Durán59'
  7. 62'Largie Ramazaniyellow card
  8. 66'Dimitri Foulquieron
  9. 66'Javi Guerraon
  10. Bryan Zaragozaon67'
  11. Borja Iglesiason67'
  12. 70'Pepelu
  13. 74'José Copeteyellow card
  14. Javi Rodríguezyellow card79'
  15. Javi Rodríguezon81'
  16. Javi Rodríguezon81'
  17. 81'José Copeteon
  18. Jones El-Abdellaoui83'
  19. Hugo Álvarezassist Iago Aspas90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Celta VigoValencia
  • 40%Possession60%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)2
  • 12Shots16
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 2Corners4
  • 10Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 4Saves2
  • 394Passes572

Line-ups

Celta Vigo

  • 20Marcos Alonso
  • 7Borja Iglesias
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 4Joseph Aidoo
  • 5Sergio Carreira
  • 3Óscar Mingueza
  • 6Ilaix Moriba
  • 19Williot Swedberg
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza
  • 32Javi Rodríguez
  • 16Miguel Román

Valencia

  • 20Dimitri Foulquier
  • 4Mouctar Diakhaby
  • 12Thierry Correia
  • 9Hugo Duro
  • 18Pepelu
  • 25Julen Agirrezabala
  • 21Jesús Vázquez
  • 3José Copete
  • 10André Almeida
  • 8Javi Guerra
  • 15Lucas Beltrán

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1467

Recent form

Celta VigoLLWWD
ValenciaDDDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo35+347
2Valencia35-1043

Head to head

  • Valencia 0–0 Celta Vigo2026-08-22
  • Valencia 2–3 Celta Vigo2026-04-05

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Valencia in the La Liga on 3 January 2026. Celta Vigo sit 7th on 47 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Celta Vigo have won 2 of their last 5 (LLWWD), while Valencia have won 0 of 5 (DDDLD). In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Valencia won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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