FTMatchday 27

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Celta Vigo1

Real Madrid2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Celta VigoReal Madrid

11'Aurelien Tchouameniassist Arda Güler
Borja Iglesiasassist Williot Swedberg25'
Borja Iglesiasyellow card31'
65'Arda Güleron
Williot Swedbergon69'
Borja Iglesiason70'
Ferran Jutglàon70'
77'Brahimon
Óscar Minguezaon83'
86'Aurelien Tchouameniyellow card
90'Raúl Asencioyellow card
Ilaix Moribaon90'
90'Thiago Pitarchon
90'Federico Valverde

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Celta VigoReal Madrid

37%Possession63%
1.04Expected goals (xG)0.86
8Shots14
4Shots on target3
1Corners6
4Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Offsides0
1Saves3
473Passes810

Line-ups

Celta Vigo

20Marcos Alonso
7Borja Iglesias
13Ionuț Radu
5Sergio Carreira
3Óscar Mingueza
6Ilaix Moriba
2Carl Starfelt
9Ferran Jutglà
19Williot Swedberg
32Javi Rodríguez
16Miguel Román

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois
22Antonio Rudiger
7Vinícius Júnior
12Trent Alexander-Arnold
21Brahim
23Ferland Mendy
8Federico Valverde
14Aurelien Tchouameni
15Arda Güler
17Raúl Asencio
45Thiago Pitarch

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1567

Recent form

Celta VigoLDLDW

Real MadridWWWWL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Real Madrid	35	+40	82
2	Celta Vigo	35	+3	47

Head to head

Real Madrid 0–2 Celta Vigo2025-12-07

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 6 March 2026. Celta Vigo sit 7th on 47 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Celta Vigo have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLDW), while Real Madrid have won 4 of 5 (WWWWL). In their last 1 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Real Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.