Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Sergio Carreiraassist Hugo Álvarez40'
- Hugo Álvarezyellow card44'
- ⚽Bryan Zaragozapenalty54'
- 58'Gerard Gumbauyellow card
- Hugo Soteloyellow card58'
- 59'Carlos Martínyellow card
- 61'⇄Gerard Gumbauon
- 61'⇄Alfonso Espinoon
- ⇄Hugo Álvarezon62'
- ⇄Hugo Soteloon63'
- 65'Isi Palazónyellow card
- Iago Aspasyellow card65'
- Óscar Minguezayellow card66'
- 66'Nobel Mendyred card
- 68'⇄Carlos Martínon
- ⇄Javi Rodríguezon71'
- ⇄Óscar Minguezaon71'
- 78'⇄Jorge de Frutoson
- 79'⇄Isi Palazónon
- ⚽Javi Rueda79'
- ⇄Carl Starfelton83'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 1.83Expected goals (xG)1.18
- 11Shots14
- 7Shots on target3
- 5Corners7
- 7Fouls14
- 4Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards1
- 4Offsides1
- 3Saves4
- 443Passes454
Line-ups
Celta Vigo
- 20Marcos Alonso
- 13Ionuț Radu
- 5Sergio Carreira
- 3Óscar Mingueza
- 6Ilaix Moriba
- 2Carl Starfelt
- 22Hugo Sotelo
- 15Bryan Zaragoza
- 23Hugo Álvarez
- 32Javi Rodríguez
- 18Pablo Durán
Rayo Vallecano
- 18Alvaro Garcia
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 15Gerard Gumbau
- 22Alfonso Espino
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 4Pedro Díaz
- 7Isi Palazón
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 14Carlos Martín
- 13Augusto Batalla
- 32Nobel Mendy
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Celta VigoWWDWW
Rayo VallecanoLDLDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo | 35 | +3 | 47 |
Head to head
- Rayo Vallecano 3–0 Celta Vigo2026-10-31
- Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Celta Vigo2025-09-21
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 18 January 2026. Celta Vigo sit 7th on 47 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Celta Vigo have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 1 of 5 (LDLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
