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FTMatchday 5

Celta Vigo vs Málaga: Prediction

Celta Vigo1
FT
Málaga1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Celta VigoMálaga
  1. 24'Einar Galileayellow card
  2. Yoel Lagoyellow card26'
  3. Ferran Jutglàassist Hugo González41'
  4. 45'Einar Galileaon
  5. 61'Joaquín Muñozon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1439

Recent form

Celta VigoWDLDD
MálagaDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo10+112
2Málaga10-115

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Málaga in the La Liga on 13 September 2026. Celta Vigo sit 8th on 12 points and Málaga are 20th on 5. Celta Vigo have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLDD), while Málaga have won 0 of 3 (DLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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