Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 6'⚽Carl Starfeltown goal
- 25'Clément Lengletyellow card
- 40'Clément Lengletyellow card
- 40'Clément Lengletred card
- 46'⇄Antoine Griezmannon
- ⇄Fran Beltránon55'
- ⇄Ferran Jutglàon63'
- ⇄Williot Swedbergon63'
- Borja Iglesiasyellow card65'
- ⚽Iago Aspas68'
- 76'⇄Javi Galánon
- 76'⇄Kokeon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 1.92Expected goals (xG)0.30
- 18Shots6
- 4Shots on target1
- 6Corners3
- 7Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards1
- 2Offsides0
- 1Saves3
- 726Passes501
Line-ups
Celta Vigo
Atlético Madrid
- 14Marcos Llorente
- 13Jan Oblak
- 6Koke
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 15Clément Lenglet
- 17Dávid Hancko
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 23Nicolás González
- 19Julián Álvarez
- 8Pablo Barrios
- 20Giuliano Simeone
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +16 | 62 | |
| 2 | 35 | +3 | 47 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo2026-05-09
Match preview
Celta Vigo host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 5 October 2025. Celta Vigo sit 7th on 47 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Celta Vigo have won 0 of their last 5 (DDDDL), while Atlético Madrid have won 3 of 5 (LDWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Atlético Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

