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FTMatchday 8

Celta Vigo vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Celta VigoAtlético Madrid
  1. 6'Carl Starfeltown goal
  2. 25'Clément Lengletyellow card
  3. 40'Clément Lengletyellow card
  4. 40'Clément Lengletred card
  5. 46'Antoine Griezmannon
  6. Fran Beltránon55'
  7. Ferran Jutglàon63'
  8. Williot Swedbergon63'
  9. Borja Iglesiasyellow card65'
  10. Iago Aspas68'
  11. 76'Javi Galánon
  12. 76'Kokeon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Celta VigoAtlético Madrid
  • 59%Possession41%
  • 1.92Expected goals (xG)0.30
  • 18Shots6
  • 4Shots on target1
  • 6Corners3
  • 7Fouls10
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 2Offsides0
  • 1Saves3
  • 726Passes501

Line-ups

Celta Vigo

    Atlético Madrid

    • 14Marcos Llorente
    • 13Jan Oblak
    • 6Koke
    • 7Antoine Griezmann
    • 15Clément Lenglet
    • 17Dávid Hancko
    • 24Robin Le Normand
    • 23Nicolás González
    • 19Julián Álvarez
    • 8Pablo Barrios
    • 20Giuliano Simeone

    Tipster consensus

    0 tracked tipsters

    No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

    Most likely score–
    Expected goals (model)–
    Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1501

    Recent form

    Celta VigoDDDDL
    Atlético MadridLDWWW
    #TeamPGDPts
    1Atlético Madrid35+1662
    2Celta Vigo35+347

    Head to head

    • Atlético Madrid 0–1 Celta Vigo2026-05-09

    Match preview

    Celta Vigo host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 5 October 2025. Celta Vigo sit 7th on 47 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Celta Vigo have won 0 of their last 5 (DDDDL), while Atlético Madrid have won 3 of 5 (LDWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Atlético Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

    How this is worked out

    Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

    Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

    Upcoming