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FTMatchday 3

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1483

Recent form

Celta VigoWLDWD
Athletic BilbaoLLDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Athletic Bilbao8+512
2Celta Vigo10+112

Head to head

  • Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta Vigo2026-05-17
  • Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-12-14

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 30 August 2026. Celta Vigo sit 8th on 12 points and Athletic Bilbao are 7th on 12. Celta Vigo have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDWD), while Athletic Bilbao have won 0 of 5 (LLDLL). In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 1, Athletic Bilbao won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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