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FTMatchday 16

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Celta VigoAthletic Bilbao
  1. Ferran Jutglàyellow card44'
  2. Ferran Jutglàon46'
  3. 46'Álex Berengueron
  4. 46'Oihan Sanceton
  5. Williot Swedbergassist Javi Rueda48'
  6. 51'Yuri Berchicheon
  7. Jones El-Abdellaoui55'
  8. Hugo Soteloon61'
  9. Javi Ruedaon61'
  10. 65'Nico Williamsassist Nico Williams
  11. 66'Iñaki Williamsyellow card
  12. Williot Swedbergon76'
  13. 76'Nico Williamson
  14. Iago Aspasyellow card77'
  15. Iago Aspason80'
  16. 80'Gorka Guruzetaon
  17. 87'Dani Vivianyellow card
  18. Borja Iglesiasyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Celta VigoAthletic Bilbao
  • 50%Possession50%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 5Shots14
  • 2Shots on target2
  • 1Corners4
  • 11Fouls13
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides3
  • 2Saves0
  • 506Passes490

Line-ups

Celta Vigo

  • 10Iago Aspas
  • 20Marcos Alonso
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 3Óscar Mingueza
  • 2Carl Starfelt
  • 9Ferran Jutglà
  • 19Williot Swedberg
  • 22Hugo Sotelo
  • 17Javi Rueda
  • 12Manu Fernández
  • 16Miguel Román

Athletic Bilbao

  • 17Yuri Berchiche
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 11Gorka Guruzeta
  • 8Oihan Sancet
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 16Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
  • 10Nico Williams
  • 4Aitor Paredes
  • 12Jesús Areso
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1483

Recent form

Celta VigoWWLLW
Athletic BilbaoWDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo35+347
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-08-30
  • Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Celta Vigo2026-05-17

Match preview

Celta Vigo host Athletic Bilbao in the La Liga on 14 December 2025. Celta Vigo sit 7th on 47 points and Athletic Bilbao are 13th on 41. Celta Vigo have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLLW), while Athletic Bilbao have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Celta Vigo won 0, Athletic Bilbao won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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