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FTMatchday 3

Celje vs Ararat-Armenia: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1502

Recent form

CeljeDDL
Ararat-ArmeniaWLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia6+19
2Celje4+15

Head to head

  • Ararat-Armenia 2–1 Celje2026-08-04

Match preview

Celje host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Champions League on 11 August 2026. Celje sit 34th on 5 points and Ararat-Armenia are 12th on 9. Celje have won 0 of their last 3 (DDL), while Ararat-Armenia have won 3 of 5 (WLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Celje won 0, Ararat-Armenia won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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