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FTMatchday 2

Cardiff City vs Cheltenham Town: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1546 – 1498

Recent form

Cardiff CityW
Cheltenham TownW
#TeamPGDPts
1Cardiff City4+612
2Cheltenham Town2-13

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Cardiff City host Cheltenham Town in the EFL Cup on 26 August 2025. Cardiff City sit 1st on 12 points and Cheltenham Town are 37th on 3. Cardiff City have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Cheltenham Town have won 1 of 1 (W). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.