Burnley vs Newcastle United: Prediction
📍 Turf Moor
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
4 goals- 2'⚽Joelinton
- 7'⚽Yoane Wissa
- ⇄Maxime Esteveon15'
- ⚽Josh Laurentassist Armando Broja23'
- Kyle Walkeryellow card28'
- 28'Joelintonyellow card
- Florentino Luísyellow card32'
- 72'⇄Harvey Barneson
- ⇄Loum Tchaounaon74'
- 80'⇄Yoane Wissaon
- 80'⇄Anthony Gordonon
- ⇄Florentino Luíson88'
- ⇄Chimuanya Ugochukwuon88'
- 90'⇄Joelintonon
- 90'⚽Bruno Guimarães
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 48%Possession52%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 15Shots20
- 4Shots on target9
- 3Corners4
- 9Fouls3
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 4Saves2
- 439Passes467
Line-ups
Burnley
- 2Kyle Walker
- 1Martin Dubravka
- 29Josh Laurent
- 16Florentino Luís
- 27Armando Broja
- 8Chimuanya Ugochukwu
- 18Hjalmar Ekdal
- 10Marcus Edwards
- 5Maxime Esteve
- 17Loum Tchaouna
- 23Lucas Pires
Newcastle United
- 1Nick Pope
- 5Fabian Schär
- 11Harvey Barnes
- 7Joelinton
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 10Anthony Gordon
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 9Yoane Wissa
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 3Lewis Hall
- 67Lewis Miley
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
BurnleyLLLDD
Newcastle UnitedDWLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
| 2 | Burnley | 38 | -37 | 22 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–1 Burnley2025-12-06
Match preview
Burnley host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 30 December 2025. Burnley sit 19th on 22 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Burnley have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLDD), while Newcastle United have won 1 of 5 (DWLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Burnley won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
